What I’ve Been Up To Lately

How do you invest in something where most outcomes go to zero?

Hey folks, short letter today.

Ever since I started this newsletter, one unexpected benefit has been the signaling.

I’m generally a private person, but writing publicly about what I’m thinking and working on has created useful conversations. I’ve met and talked with a lot of interesting people — each with their own perspective on investing, risk, and how capital should be deployed over time.

As part of that, I’ve spent more time around investors who specialize in a fairly niche area: angel investment tax credits, particularly the resale of those credits.

Because of that focus, they naturally see a large volume of startups. And some of those startups are actively looking for funding.

That’s created an opportunity I didn’t fully appreciate at first:
access to private deals, earlier than most people see them, with information advantages that don’t really exist in public markets.

Of course, investing in startups comes with a hard truth attached.

They’re risky. Very risky.
Many — perhaps most — individual angel investments go to zero.

That reality forced me to slow down and ask an important questions.

A question more important than “Is this a good deal?

How do you approach this as a system — one designed to survive losses and still produce strong long-term outcomes?

So next week, I’m going to write about how I’m thinking about angel investing — not as a one-off bet, but as part of a broader, long-term strategy.

More on that soon.

— Dakota

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3 Tricks Billionaires Use to Help Protect Wealth Through Shaky Markets

“If I hear bad news about the stock market one more time, I’m gonna be sick.”

We get it. Investors are rattled, costs keep rising, and the world keeps getting weirder.

So, who’s better at handling their money than the uber-rich?

Have 3 long-term investing tips UBS (Swiss bank) shared for shaky times:

  1. Hold extra cash for expenses and buying cheap if markets fall.

  2. Diversify outside stocks (Gold, real estate, etc.).

  3. Hold a slice of wealth in alternatives that tend not to move with equities.

The catch? Most alternatives aren’t open to everyday investors

That’s why Masterworks exists: 70,000+ members invest in shares of something that’s appreciated more overall than the S&P 500 over 30 years without moving in lockstep with it.*

Contemporary and post war art by legends like Banksy, Basquiat, and more.

Sounds crazy, but it’s real. One way to help reclaim control this week:

*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Investing involves risk. Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd