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Notes From a Capital Allocator

Weekly insights on how I deploy capital, evaluate risk, and compound over time.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Engineering PhD turned capital allocator. Follows the Buffett school of investing.

Archive

Investor Insights

Stepping over 1-foot bars

Nov 9, 2026

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1 min read

Stepping over 1-foot bars

I'm changing my cadence

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

What Does the Price Assume?

Nov 2, 2026

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2 min read

What Does the Price Assume?

I can’t judge a drug trial, but I can ask what a stock price requires me to believe.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Valuing Pharma Without Being a Pharma Expert

Oct 26, 2026

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4 min read

Valuing Pharma Without Being a Pharma Expert

A friend asked what I think about NVO

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Bitcoin Bottom That Didn’t Wait for Me

Oct 19, 2026

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3 min read

The Bitcoin Bottom That Didn’t Wait for Me

I had a thesis, a price, and three calendar reminders. The market skipped all of it.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Looking Away

Oct 12, 2026

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2 min read

Looking Away

How I invest in bursts, and whether it’s skill or luck

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

+1

Know When to Hold 'em

Oct 5, 2026

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2 min read

Know When to Hold 'em

My exit from Salesforce after a ~48% gain.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

Model Portfolio Update

Sep 28, 2026

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2 min read

Model Portfolio Update

The LEN buy I forgot to tell you about

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Bet That Doesn't Need You to Be Right

Sep 21, 2026

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3 min read

The Bet That Doesn't Need You to Be Right

What a 30-mile ruler taught me about structural investing

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

+1

The Three Ways I Compound Capital

Sep 14, 2026

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3 min read

The Three Ways I Compound Capital

And why WING only has one

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD
...
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