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Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Engineering PhD turned capital allocator. Follows the Buffett school of investing.

Stock Picks

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The Three Ways I Compound Capital

Sep 14, 2026

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3 min read

The Three Ways I Compound Capital

And why WING only has one

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

Wingstop: Where I'm Stuck

Aug 31, 2026

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3 min read

Wingstop: Where I'm Stuck

Price is down ~70% from its high, but is it cheap?

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The 25% I Never Got To

Aug 24, 2026

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3 min read

The 25% I Never Got To

A trade that's still good, at a price that's no longer as good

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Real Estate

The Deal That Taxes Killed

Aug 17, 2026

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4 min read

The Deal That Taxes Killed

A cap rate of 9.3% became negative cash flow the moment I checked the real tax bill.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Catching a Falling Knife (On Purpose)

Aug 10, 2026

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3 min read

Catching a Falling Knife (On Purpose)

Exposing a contradiction in how I size positions

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Why Berkshire Bought Google — And Why I Haven't

Aug 3, 2026

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3 min read

Why Berkshire Bought Google — And Why I Haven't

Berkshire got a seat at the table. I only get a stock price.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

Model Portfolio Update

Jul 31, 2026

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3 min read

Model Portfolio Update

Betting on MSFT post-earnings

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

Microsoft: The Cheapest Multiple in Years

Jul 27, 2026

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4 min read

Microsoft: The Cheapest Multiple in Years

Everyone agrees on the setup. Nobody agrees on the clock.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

Model Portfolio Update

Jul 24, 2026

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1 min read

Model Portfolio Update

Adding to CRM

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

The One I Almost Missed: Lennar

Jul 20, 2026

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4 min read

The One I Almost Missed: Lennar

Housing's supply shortage looks like oil in 2020 — except one company didn't cut supply

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Reading the Radar

Jul 13, 2026

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4 min read

Reading the Radar

The three signals I use to find ideas before they're obvious — and the oil trade that proved it.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

The Model Portfolio: Making It Real

Jul 8, 2026

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3 min read

The Model Portfolio: Making It Real

Stock picks were half a decision. Here's the other half.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

The SaaSpocalypse Is Mispriced

Jun 29, 2026

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6 min read

The SaaSpocalypse Is Mispriced

Salesforce is down 40% on a narrative that makes it more valuable, not less.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

What Berkshire Saw

Jun 22, 2026

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3 min read

What Berkshire Saw

The $2.65 billion bet that validated my own framework

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

My Investing Blunders

Jun 15, 2026

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5 min read

My Investing Blunders

A postmortem on the trade I won, then lost.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Lifestyle Investments

To Invest or Not to Invest?

Jun 8, 2026

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2 min read

To Invest or Not to Invest?

What to do when lifestyle creep starts calling itself an investment.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Minimum Effective Dose

Jun 1, 2026

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3 min read

The Minimum Effective Dose

Stop doing too much of the wrong things.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Don't Optimize a Cage You Can Escape

May 26, 2026

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3 min read

Don't Optimize a Cage You Can Escape

Most constraints aren't real. They're just assumptions nobody tested.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

What if investing was a game?

May 18, 2026

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2 min read

What if investing was a game?

Not metaphorically. A

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Composition Effect

May 11, 2026

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2 min read

The Composition Effect

What Employee Surveys Taught Me About Stock Prices

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Smarter You Are, The Easier It Is to Lose

May 4, 2026

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2 min read

The Smarter You Are, The Easier It Is to Lose

How overthinking costs you money—and why small actions create real insight

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Where the Market Breaks (And Where I’ll Be Buying)

Apr 27, 2026

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3 min read

Where the Market Breaks (And Where I’ll Be Buying)

How the Yen Carry Trade unwind could create forced selling—and how I’m positioning to exploit the mispricing

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Why It Pays to Be Tone Deaf (Especially Right Now)

Apr 20, 2026

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2 min read

Why It Pays to Be Tone Deaf (Especially Right Now)

How the attention economy hijacks your time horizon—and leads to bad decisions

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Feedback Problem in Investing

Apr 13, 2026

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4 min read

The Feedback Problem in Investing

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The Case for Beating the Market

Apr 6, 2026

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4 min read

The Case for Beating the Market

What most people get wrong—and why the opportunity still exists

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD
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